PolyBot

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U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.015 to 0.022. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02355
0.0244348
0.02581130
0.026193323
0.02752375
0.03056431
0.058100531
0.07030561
0.13450611
0.3995616
0.40050666
0.50050716

Spread0.015Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0082525
0.007186211
0.00613224
0.00533258
0.004260518
0.00386604
0.0028611,465
0.00110,28511,750

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9922525
0.993186211
0.99413224
0.99533258
0.996260518
0.99786604
0.9988611,465
0.99910,28511,750

Spread0.015Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97755
0.9764348
0.97581130
0.974193323
0.97352375
0.97056431
0.942100531
0.93030561
0.86650611
0.6015616
0.60050666
0.50050716

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xf55633Yes480.32
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes193.4
AJSVYes39.42
79fsdfsYes26.44
nexusoptimusYes11.76
WMNBYes5
LornaPredictsNo516.13
BoberKurwaYaPerdoleNo70
IlyaJoePeachNo56.44
0xd177…dd0eNo45.16
sanlitou2026p1No20.22
0x463F42313F8eD8B070977502D6b25A86A88422dC-1776252682498No10.17
BarackObama1024No8.29
hspje89No7.22
Mudskipper471No5.06
EiaNo5
0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-1772404534081No5
LolloFrigidaNo5
Yasha-001No1.06
0x5e49…a4f4No1.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:42:47SELLNo0.9765$4.94
13:42:08BUYNo0.98799995025$5.00
17:04:20SELLNo0.9765$4.94
17:03:59BUYNo0.98699999965$5.00
06:53:26SELLNo0.9760$0.01
06:46:20SELLNo0.974826252755$53.69
06:46:08BUYNo0.988384455955$54.45
06:45:23SELLNo0.976369367856$54.82
06:45:20BUYNo0.987340896856$55.44
17:18:09SELLNo0.9757015815$4.94
17:17:51BUYNo0.98799999845$5.00
12:30:03SELLNo0.9765$4.93
12:29:48BUYNo0.9889999995$5.00
11:54:25SELLNo0.9755$4.92
11:54:13BUYNo0.9889999995$5.00
11:41:57BUYNo0.9895$4.95
12:03:26BUYNo0.988999999720$20.00
09:27:27SELLYes0.00612$0.07
15:10:06SELLNo0.9927$6.94
21:58:01SELLYes0.0073$0.02
06:43:04SELLNo0.9671$1.20
03:47:31BUYNo0.9889999995$5.00
21:35:00SELLYes0.01116$0.18
21:34:18SELLYes0.0149$0.13
11:41:10SELLNo0.9682$2.12