BoberKurwaYaPerdole
0x46185f7cef2455f4134818f36ab3edea0b71f25e
- Realised P&L
- $316.87
- Volume
- $40.4k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $451.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.76at 0.678 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$39.91at 0.800Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
- +$38.86at 0.730MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
- +$33.88at 0.626Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$32.79at 0.386Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:42 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.52 |
| 08-04 06:59 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-04 05:52 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.285 | $2.85 |
| 08-03 14:17 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-03 14:07 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 03:13 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 14:47 | Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 10:18 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 06:49 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | BUY | 0.919 | $9.19 |
| 07-31 16:28 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 07-31 14:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 09:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.66 |