BoberKurwaYaPerdole
0x46185f7cef2455f4134818f36ab3edea0b71f25e
- Realised P&L
- $367.39
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 467
- Open portfolio
- $475.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded467
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.76at 0.677 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$38.55at 0.806Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
- +$38.33at 0.733MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
- +$31.67at 0.390Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$31.34at 0.630Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:22 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-24 17:20 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-24 17:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 09-24 16:10 | Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 10:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-22 15:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 11:41 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 11:37 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 09-22 09:58 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.05 |
| 09-22 05:04 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 09-22 05:03 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-21 05:44 | Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-21 03:55 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-21 03:39 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-20 13:49 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |