PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IlyaJoePeach

0x11c133d0554a4d53f1ced0c74c93e4baadef6db8

Realised P&L
$-15.98
Volume
$15.1k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$542.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? · No0.9610.977$56.26+$0.89
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No0.9760.985$55.57+$0.48
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9750.975$53.85−$0.03
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.9810.980$51.65−$0.08
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No0.9400.930$51.15−$0.55
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? · No0.9430.927$51.07−$0.85
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · No0.9640.935$49.58−$1.51
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat? · No0.9850.967$49.29−$0.94
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9600.923$48.92−$1.96
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9760.933$42.37−$1.93
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.0000.959$20.11+$20.11
Brex IPO before 2027? · No0.9870.987$12.85+$0.00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.9220.000$0.00−$47.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$48.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 05:47Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.986$50.29
04-17 11:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.975$50.70
04-07 07:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.9689999728$21.70