sanlitou2026p1
0x7a8e51fbe1f6f4a712e44f728b38b6ecc5a889d8
- Realised P&L
- $-69.23
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 914
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded914
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.22at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$5.34at 0.787Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- +$4.44at 0.816Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?
- +$4.32at 0.823Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
- +$4.24at 0.823Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:34 | Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9819999411 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat? | BUY | 0.9809999984 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9789999993 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.980530138 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999964 | $19.32 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999964 | $19.32 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8889999975 | $19.53 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.9549999961 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.9619999977 | $9.90 |
| 11-02 12:33 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9309999964 | $9.70 |
| 11-02 12:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $9.70 |
| 11-02 12:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.9289999936 | $9.70 |
| 11-02 12:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.9239999457 | $9.60 |
| 11-02 12:33 | Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9469999987 | $9.50 |