PolyBot

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Traders

LolloFrigida

0xf5ae2dcd1e5dbac3d8ef1ab82f94f593ca0404af

Realised P&L
$8.87
Volume
$217.30
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$55.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9200.920$9.20+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.865$8.65+$0.15
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4900.560$5.60+$0.70
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No0.9760.985$4.92+$0.04
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? · Yes0.8800.865$4.33−$0.07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8800.865$4.33−$0.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8500.755$3.77−$0.47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6430.617$3.08−$0.13
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5200.435$3.04−$0.59
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.7800.605$3.02−$0.88
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? · Yes0.4900.500$2.04+$0.04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.835$1.04+$0.04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$1.03+$0.03
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.9000.885$0.98−$0.02
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2300.003$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 17:15EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-22 17:14Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.89999928$1.00
09-22 17:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 17:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-22 17:09Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?SELL0.042$0.21
09-22 16:58Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.77$2.78
09-21 01:34Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.4$0.63
09-18 16:42Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?BUY0.88$4.40
09-17 17:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
09-17 15:43Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.999$14.98
09-17 04:32Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6699998699$2.42
09-11 04:03Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$1.53
09-11 03:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.85$4.25
09-11 03:57Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.88$4.40
09-09 02:22Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.599$3.00