LolloFrigida
0xf5ae2dcd1e5dbac3d8ef1ab82f94f593ca0404af
- Realised P&L
- $8.87
- Volume
- $217.30
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $55.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.499Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$5.15at 0.840Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.85at 0.830Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$0.81at 0.860Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
- +$0.65at 0.800US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:15 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 17:14 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:09 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.21 |
| 09-22 16:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.78 |
| 09-21 01:34 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.63 |
| 09-18 16:42 | Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 17:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-17 15:43 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-17 04:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699998699 | $2.42 |
| 09-11 04:03 | Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 03:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-11 03:57 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-09 02:22 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.599 | $3.00 |