PolyBot

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Traders

BarackObama1024

0x94e582aea473a0fbfe64c3a788b035c61f12372b

Realised P&L
$-9.15
Volume
$143.9k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$8.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No0.9920.985$8.16−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 07:47U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?BUY0.992$8.22
09-09 07:47Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?SELL0.962$7.59
08-08 11:07Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?BUY0.9599999088$7.58
08-08 11:07Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$8.21
07-20 12:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999955$8.21
06-08 03:03Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY0.9939999995$7.66
06-08 02:44Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.978$8.00
05-18 11:40Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9819999993$8.04
05-18 11:00Will Trump be impeached by June 30?SELL0.99$8.13
05-14 14:06Will Trump be impeached by June 30?BUY0.9859998936$8.10
04-10 01:18Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?BUY0.975$8.16
04-06 10:45Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 8?BUY0.99$8.08
03-19 10:13Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000 voters?BUY0.9889999999$8.00
03-19 09:37Xi Jinping out by June 30?SELL0.965$8.00
02-23 10:49Xi Jinping out by June 30?BUY0.964$8.00