BarackObama1024
0x94e582aea473a0fbfe64c3a788b035c61f12372b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.15
- Volume
- $143.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $8.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No | 0.992 | 0.985 | $8.16 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.932Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
- +$0.32at 0.949Ethereum all time high by January 31?
- +$0.21at 0.975Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
- +$0.17at 0.978Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?
- +$0.09at 0.989Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000 voters?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:47 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.22 |
| 09-09 07:47 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $7.59 |
| 08-08 11:07 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | BUY | 0.9599999088 | $7.58 |
| 08-08 11:07 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.21 |
| 07-20 12:16 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999955 | $8.21 |
| 06-08 03:03 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $7.66 |
| 06-08 02:44 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.978 | $8.00 |
| 05-18 11:40 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9819999993 | $8.04 |
| 05-18 11:00 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.13 |
| 05-14 14:06 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.9859998936 | $8.10 |
| 04-10 01:18 | Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.975 | $8.16 |
| 04-06 10:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.08 |
| 03-19 10:13 | Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000 voters? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $8.00 |
| 03-19 09:37 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $8.00 |
| 02-23 10:49 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $8.00 |