0xf55633
0xf5563340481fbd46cb87ba14f50a13d3f7609cc9
- Realised P&L
- $-325.83
- Volume
- $220.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $8.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.015 | $7.44 | −$27.14 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.120 | $0.93 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.070Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.034Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
- +$964.41at 0.160Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?
- +$889.83at 0.220Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?
- +$841.16at 0.032Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 12:57 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | SELL | 0.0226451613 | $1.19 |
| 08-18 12:02 | Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $45.77 |
| 08-18 12:01 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $39.88 |
| 08-18 12:00 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $53.17 |
| 08-18 12:00 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $77.08 |
| 08-18 11:59 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $108.99 |
| 08-18 11:59 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $79.01 |
| 08-18 11:58 | Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $102.00 |
| 08-18 11:58 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $72.11 |
| 08-18 11:57 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $97.71 |
| 08-18 11:56 | Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $21.36 |
| 08-18 11:55 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $19.87 |
| 08-18 11:55 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $65.35 |
| 08-18 11:54 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $62.99 |
| 08-18 11:54 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $20.59 |