Yasha-001
0xd0d46b0051fea122b94d6ca88b6a5117ec37e199
- Realised P&L
- $-1.28
- Volume
- $18.81
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $1.56 | +$0.06 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No | 0.958 | 0.985 | $1.05 | +$0.03 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.612Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.14at 0.880US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.992US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:22 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9579999887 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 07:18 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 16:57 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.579999942 | $1.20 |
| 07-20 16:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.50 |
| 07-19 22:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4019997902 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 09:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 09:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.9919998466 | $3.00 |