0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-1772404534081
0x8333521ed10e5c714960cde86e43b0a93e9def3e
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $147.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.773Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$524.87at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$414.30at 0.923European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$315.04at 0.961Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$209.20at 0.716Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 00:21 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1246527343 | $37.00 |
| 09-07 20:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.3k |
| 09-07 20:23 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.8495576563 | $300.00 |
| 09-07 00:24 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea | BUY | 0.9159999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 00:21 | Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $366.00 |
| 09-07 00:20 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea | BUY | 0.9469999987 | $200.00 |
| 09-07 00:03 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.992 | $18.87 |
| 09-05 15:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $48.09 |
| 09-05 00:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2761675908 | $83.00 |
| 09-05 00:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9071750523 | $1.9k |
| 09-02 23:35 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3896894169 | $200.00 |
| 09-02 23:34 | Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.9575486753 | $500.00 |
| 09-02 23:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.6170557797 | $500.00 |
| 09-01 10:26 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.8999999986 | $250.00 |
| 09-01 10:25 | Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |