PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd1778fa84066254bbf4f0d200ebf81c952f9dd0e

Realised P&L
$-140.13
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$88.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No0.9800.994$44.87+$0.60
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3880.390$18.63+$0.11
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.535$9.20+$6.62
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.450$6.20+$3.45
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9000.745$2.90$0.60
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.255$2.20+$0.65
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.038$1.36$1.44
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? · Yes0.1500.120$0.90$0.23
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.035$0.64$0.60
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.1300.075$0.63$0.46
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.070$0.52$0.45
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.025$0.33$0.68
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.025$0.31$0.96
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.025$0.21$0.79
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1060.009$0.05$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 18:35U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?BUY0.9802186589$44.26
09-01 18:35U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0789999762$2.80
09-01 18:33Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$49.71
08-31 15:10Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999973$53.54
08-31 15:10Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0191195801$2.08
08-31 15:00Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0160783366$1.33
08-31 12:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?SELL0.11$2.98
08-31 12:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$26.45
08-31 12:34Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999769$26.74
08-31 12:34Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.119999969$3.25
08-31 12:03Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.85
08-31 12:03Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.983$32.79
08-31 11:52Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9839999736$32.83
08-31 11:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999718$2.16
08-31 11:21U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.038$1.36