JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-30
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.80. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.89. Range 0.57 to 0.90. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	665	665
0.81	1,234	1,899
0.82	590	2,490
0.85	58	2,548
0.86	470	3,018
0.87	349	3,367
0.88	762	4,129
0.89	861	4,990
0.90	2,444	7,434
0.91	755	8,189
0.92	1,355	9,545
0.93	286	9,830

Spread0.01Mid0.80

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	647	647
0.78	970	1,617
0.77	291	1,908
0.76	36	1,944
0.75	100	2,044
0.74	48	2,092
0.66	73	2,164
0.58	200	2,364
0.56	25	2,389
0.48	113	2,502
0.47	500	3,002
0.45	100	3,102

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	647	647
0.22	970	1,617
0.23	291	1,908
0.24	36	1,944
0.25	100	2,044
0.26	48	2,092
0.34	73	2,164
0.42	200	2,364
0.44	25	2,389
0.52	113	2,502
0.53	500	3,002
0.55	100	3,102

Spread0.01Mid0.21

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	665	665
0.19	1,234	1,899
0.18	590	2,490
0.15	58	2,548
0.14	470	3,018
0.13	349	3,367
0.12	762	4,129
0.11	861	4,990
0.10	2,444	7,434
0.09	755	8,189
0.08	1,355	9,545
0.07	286	9,830

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Stonktrader	Yes	2,940.5
Nadmi	Yes	2,043.96
buoys	Yes	1,590.39
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	1,000
PaddyAlpha	Yes	865.49
longdated-poli	Yes	609.96
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	400
on-cinema	Yes	400
DFK	Yes	363.99
hfv	Yes	304.98
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	143.67
predictdogepepewif	Yes	100.06
televisionloud	Yes	96.14
sunnynotbunny	Yes	84.81
bigfishhunter2	Yes	73.53
leadernew	Yes	65
cdminix	Yes	58
GirlOnFire	Yes	41.23
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	38.67
pppnn	Yes	34.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:14:25	BUY	Yes	0.8	39	$30.94
07:06:18	SELL	Yes	0.8125641026	195	$158.45
03:25:48	BUY	Yes	0.8	50	$40.00
23:03:58	SELL	No	0.18	20	$3.59
22:45:58	SELL	Yes	0.8	36	$28.80
09:41:27	SELL	No	0.18	1	$0.13
09:41:25	BUY	No	0.2	80	$16.00
09:41:25	BUY	No	0.2	20	$3.99
09:41:25	BUY	No	0.2	15	$2.94
09:41:25	BUY	No	0.2	20	$3.99
09:41:25	BUY	No	0.2	14	$2.80
09:41:24	BUY	No	0.2	30	$6.00
09:41:22	BUY	No	0.2	30	$6.00
08:02:28	SELL	Yes	0.8	120	$96.00
04:55:55	BUY	No	0.21	60	$12.60
03:19:04	SELL	Yes	0.82	30	$24.60
02:49:54	SELL	Yes	0.84	20	$16.80
02:48:49	SELL	No	0.15	33	$4.98
02:48:49	SELL	No	0.18	49	$8.78
01:35:27	SELL	No	0.19	221	$41.99
01:35:25	BUY	Yes	0.8199999581	14	$11.34
01:35:24	BUY	Yes	0.7932353699	1,590	$1261.55
01:35:24	BUY	Yes	0.82	51	$41.82
22:52:54	SELL	No	0.215	20	$4.30
22:49:09	SELL	No	0.23	20	$4.60