PolyBot

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Traders

bigfishhunter2

0xe43eea9f8bba57fe752786f5cefe57b62b9297c2

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$108.0k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$58.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? · Yes0.6700.795$58.46+$9.19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$115.00
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? · No0.0730.000$0.00−$709.99
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$71.00
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? · No0.0960.000$0.00−$300.00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$500.92
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) · Walczaki0.1200.000$0.00−$130.36
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.6370.000$0.00−$157.15
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? · No0.0430.000$0.00−$196.88
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$43.21
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? · No0.0410.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? · No0.1680.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 07:32JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?BUY0.67$49.27
10-23 09:19Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0362130301$27.77
10-22 13:12Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899791352$69.00
10-13 11:22Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?SELL0.992$321.69
10-12 19:27Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.7829209245$50.00
10-12 19:27Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.7813116626$50.00
10-12 19:26Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.7806877219$50.00
10-12 19:24Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.75$50.00
10-12 19:23Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.7608911874$50.00
09-15 22:52Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6374543594$157.15
09-08 23:06Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.956$159.79
09-05 10:17Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.6999999988$117.00
09-04 20:07Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.0045454545$10.00
09-04 19:49Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.018$8.51
09-04 19:47Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.015$7.50