bigfishhunter2
0xe43eea9f8bba57fe752786f5cefe57b62b9297c2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $108.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $58.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.63at 0.616Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
- +$118.66at 0.807Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
- +$86.17at 0.535Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$69.30at 0.778Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?
- +$61.27at 0.710Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 07:32 | JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $49.27 |
| 10-23 09:19 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0362130301 | $27.77 |
| 10-22 13:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899791352 | $69.00 |
| 10-13 11:22 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | SELL | 0.992 | $321.69 |
| 10-12 19:27 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.7829209245 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 19:27 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.7813116626 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 19:26 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.7806877219 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 19:24 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 19:23 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.7608911874 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6374543594 | $157.15 |
| 09-08 23:06 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.956 | $159.79 |
| 09-05 10:17 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.6999999988 | $117.00 |
| 09-04 20:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0045454545 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 19:49 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $8.51 |
| 09-04 19:47 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.50 |