Stonktrader
0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239
- Realised P&L
- $92.5k
- Volume
- $2.74M
- Markets traded
- 498
- Open portfolio
- $30.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded498
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41Mat 0.275Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$47.0kat 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
- +$16.8kat 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.3kat 0.400Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.001Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:54 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5999447514 | $1.1k |
| 10-10 19:04 | Will Jeremiah Smith be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-10 19:00 | Will Ryan Coleman-Williams be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader? | BUY | 0.77 | $46.20 |
| 10-09 15:19 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.97 | $77.60 |
| 10-07 21:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.29 | $29.0k |
| 10-07 19:46 | Will there be 6+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.3 | $27.90 |
| 10-07 02:06 | Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 6, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.9866721362 | $15.0k |
| 10-06 23:29 | Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.93 | $94.85 |
| 10-06 23:27 | Will there be 6+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.1255913978 | $11.68 |
| 10-06 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.0k |
| 10-05 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.8k |
| 10-05 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.088438645 | $2.5k |
| 10-05 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-05 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.0089291193 | $333.26 |
| 10-01 03:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $399.00 |