Stonktrader
0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239
- Realised P&L
- $26.2k
- Volume
- $2.33M
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85Mat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$722.7kat 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
- +$17.1kat 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.001Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?
- +$5.0kat 0.500Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31? | BUY | 0.8945112811 | $914.24 |
| 07-31 19:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.52 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9975514043 | $622.64 |
| 07-30 23:20 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.7599742725 | $766.55 |
| 07-30 23:20 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $78.75 |
| 07-30 19:06 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.8501413807 | $1.7k |
| 07-30 03:53 | Cosogolov Alexandr vs. Iurcenco Iuri | SELL | 0.87 | $348.00 |
| 07-30 03:53 | Cosogolov Alexandr vs. Iurcenco Iuri | BUY | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 07-30 03:40 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 07-28 19:23 | Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: Helsingborgs IF O/U 4.5 Corners | BUY | 0.2428571429 | $8.50 |
| 07-28 19:23 | Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: Helsingborgs IF O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.2428571429 | $8.50 |
| 07-28 19:23 | Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: Helsingborgs IF O/U 2.5 Corners | BUY | 0.7760538117 | $173.06 |
| 07-28 19:23 | Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7760538117 | $173.06 |
| 07-28 15:53 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9887319313 | $908.77 |
| 07-28 15:52 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.4k |