PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DFK

0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3

Realised P&L
$53.1k
Volume
$5.14M
Markets traded
760
Open portfolio
$247.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded760
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.945$30.2k+$932.38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9570.972$28.7k+$438.09
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9290.977$19.0k+$942.25
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.8840.966$17.0k+$1.5k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9380.983$14.6k+$656.67
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8570.920$13.8k+$949.81
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.935$11.6k+$917.68
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · No0.8290.930$7.2k+$785.77
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8370.865$6.5k+$208.93
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · No0.9400.975$6.2k+$223.32
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9210.918$5.7k$16.36
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No0.9350.975$4.9k+$200.07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9400.958$4.9k+$89.08
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.8910.968$4.5k+$358.60
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.8850.945$4.4k+$282.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:16Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9376923077$121.90
09-17 16:19Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?SELL0.951$82.08
09-17 16:17Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.71$139.74
09-17 16:15US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
09-17 16:14Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.94$211.50
09-17 16:06Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$89.00
09-17 16:05Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.88$17.60
09-17 13:57Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.95$213.75
09-17 12:04Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.64$92.80
09-17 10:01Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.94$89.00
09-17 10:01Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.93$4.65
09-17 08:43Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$1.1k
09-17 07:40Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?BUY0.95$55.65
09-17 03:53Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?BUY0.9238567724$317.10
09-16 15:38Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?BUY0.942$14.13