DFK
0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3
- Realised P&L
- $53.1k
- Volume
- $5.14M
- Markets traded
- 760
- Open portfolio
- $247.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded760
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.989Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
- +$2.3kat 0.967Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.935Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.941Macron out in 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.967Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:16 | Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9376923077 | $121.90 |
| 09-17 16:19 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.951 | $82.08 |
| 09-17 16:17 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.71 | $139.74 |
| 09-17 16:15 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-17 16:14 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.94 | $211.50 |
| 09-17 16:06 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 09-17 16:05 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-17 13:57 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.95 | $213.75 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $92.80 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.94 | $89.00 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-17 08:43 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.1k |
| 09-17 07:40 | Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit? | BUY | 0.95 | $55.65 |
| 09-17 03:53 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.9238567724 | $317.10 |
| 09-16 15:38 | Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $14.13 |