PolyBot

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Traders

DFK

0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3

Realised P&L
$42.7k
Volume
$5.87M
Markets traded
828
Open portfolio
$261.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded828
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:16Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.853$1.2k
11-01 21:12Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8559904857$299.60
11-01 21:12Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.856$172.91
11-01 12:33Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.806$485.64
11-01 11:19Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.944$595.66
11-01 11:01Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.969$2.6k
11-01 10:54Obama arrested before 2027?SELL0.9695722604$569.45
11-01 06:00Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.992$1.5k
11-01 05:15Obama arrested before 2027?SELL0.9797589655$284.13
10-31 17:22Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.838$915.10
10-31 09:55Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberBUY0.88$48.40
10-31 09:49Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.992$1.5k
10-31 07:50Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?SELL0.957$28.71
10-31 06:52Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$624.80
10-31 06:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8$1.5k