DFK
0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3
- Realised P&L
- $42.7k
- Volume
- $5.87M
- Markets traded
- 828
- Open portfolio
- $261.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded828
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.989Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
- +$3.5kat 0.968Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.962Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$2.3kat 0.967Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.935Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:16 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.853 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 21:12 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8559904857 | $299.60 |
| 11-01 21:12 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.856 | $172.91 |
| 11-01 12:33 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.806 | $485.64 |
| 11-01 11:19 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.944 | $595.66 |
| 11-01 11:01 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 10:54 | Obama arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.9695722604 | $569.45 |
| 11-01 06:00 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.5k |
| 11-01 05:15 | Obama arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.9797589655 | $284.13 |
| 10-31 17:22 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.838 | $915.10 |
| 10-31 09:55 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.88 | $48.40 |
| 10-31 09:49 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 07:50 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.957 | $28.71 |
| 10-31 06:52 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $624.80 |
| 10-31 06:50 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.5k |