buoys
0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c
- Realised P&L
- $82.3k
- Volume
- $5.29M
- Markets traded
- 2,311
- Open portfolio
- $109.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,311
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.266Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.3kat 0.408Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$5.5kat 0.692Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$4.8kat 0.616Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$4.3kat 0.152Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:21 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.008 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 15:50 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.43 | $30.55 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.8257489866 | $924.79 |
| 11-01 13:45 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.8701877413 | $525.15 |
| 11-01 13:45 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $344.34 |
| 11-01 13:34 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $492.25 |
| 11-01 13:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.3126841294 | $202.93 |
| 11-01 04:03 | Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.0108756923 | $2.83 |
| 11-01 01:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | SELL | 0.44 | $53.06 |
| 11-01 01:56 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | SELL | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 11-01 01:40 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.34 |
| 10-31 23:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.268910794 | $123.44 |
| 10-31 22:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.248398332 | $39.91 |
| 10-31 21:56 | Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? | SELL | 0.1987963733 | $100.42 |