PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

buoys

0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c

Realised P&L
$82.3k
Volume
$5.29M
Markets traded
2,311
Open portfolio
$109.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,311
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:21Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$72.00
11-01 16:12Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.008$15.00
11-01 15:50Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.43$30.55
11-01 13:49Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.8257489866$924.79
11-01 13:45Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?SELL0.8701877413$525.15
11-01 13:45Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?SELL0.89$344.34
11-01 13:34Will no listed leader be out before 2027?SELL0.68$492.25
11-01 13:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.3126841294$202.93
11-01 04:03Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?SELL0.0108756923$2.83
11-01 01:57Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?SELL0.44$53.06
11-01 01:56Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?SELL0.44$88.00
11-01 01:40Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.09$4.34
10-31 23:59Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?BUY0.268910794$123.44
10-31 22:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.248398332$39.91
10-31 21:56Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?SELL0.1987963733$100.42