buoys
0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c
- Realised P&L
- $93.2k
- Volume
- $4.67M
- Markets traded
- 1,998
- Open portfolio
- $99.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,998
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.266Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.0kat 0.393Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.060Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$5.5kat 0.692Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$4.3kat 0.152Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:52 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.7564696841 | $516.77 |
| 09-17 07:52 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.8217526047 | $433.80 |
| 09-16 22:54 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.9 | $57.36 |
| 09-16 22:53 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.91 | $934.38 |
| 09-16 22:18 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.91 | $137.43 |
| 09-16 22:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.06 | $0.66 |
| 09-16 22:05 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.9 | $39.83 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $152.77 |
| 09-16 09:46 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 09:38 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.8827542016 | $995.35 |
| 09-16 08:46 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0868529751 | $254.60 |
| 09-16 07:36 | Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.6729410104 | $285.99 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.9612261563 | $137.37 |
| 09-15 16:05 | Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.94 | $11.19 |