buoys
0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c
- Realised P&L
- $79.0k
- Volume
- $4.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,856
- Open portfolio
- $88.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,856
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.264Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.403Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.060Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$5.5kat 0.692Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$4.3kat 0.152Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:18 | Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.5272785372 | $237.61 |
| 08-03 00:05 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.398912906 | $481.75 |
| 08-03 00:01 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.2230526316 | $21.19 |
| 08-02 23:56 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.1407749091 | $154.85 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4512850993 | $70.23 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $28.50 |
| 08-02 23:44 | Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.15 | $73.32 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.2433333333 | $36.50 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.2767522814 | $37.61 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.6295041753 | $688.26 |
| 08-02 22:45 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.018 | $15.52 |
| 08-02 20:33 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $53.55 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | SELL | 0.8640123545 | $120.99 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 18:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $16.72 |