PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

longdated-poli

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5

Realised P&L
$-46.1k
Volume
$5.41M
Markets traded
3,021
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,021
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · No0.9290.695$897.54$302.44
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9170.874$751.06$37.16
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.8890.792$693.26$84.60
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8830.845$510.36$22.78
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? · Yes0.9100.827$509.45$51.57
Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8200.755$498.29$43.00
Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9140.858$429.00$28.06
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.8270.796$382.14$14.57
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8830.860$375.89$10.16
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.8250.800$343.99$10.80
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8450.690$296.24$66.57
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? · No0.8830.476$274.54$234.13
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in September? · No0.9190.388$274.12$375.49
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.9560.894$270.89$18.74
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? · No0.9490.923$256.69$7.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:37Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0418663636$9.21
09-17 05:17Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9306830918$586.27
09-17 04:37Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.921$46.05
09-17 02:31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.918$19.99
09-17 01:06Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.0357125432$1.76
09-17 00:46Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$85.80
09-17 00:46Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$85.80
09-17 00:46Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$85.80
09-17 00:42Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.54$356.40
09-17 00:21Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?SELL0.9$41.29
09-17 00:21Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?SELL0.9$70.80
09-17 00:19Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.7781427273$171.19
09-16 23:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3745963786$97.44
09-16 23:48Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?SELL0.08$1.60
09-16 23:48Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?SELL0.86$123.88