PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

longdated-poli

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5

Realised P&L
$-65.1k
Volume
$8.16M
Markets traded
4,071
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9340.897$912.74−$37.39
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9390.892$570.98−$29.96
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.914$552.44−$20.86
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8950.879$536.21−$9.57
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.9620.859$535.75−$64.24
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? · Yes0.8100.795$524.70−$9.90
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8870.795$521.97−$60.06
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.8460.792$488.12−$33.18
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9450.943$486.75−$1.08
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? · Yes0.8800.795$484.92−$51.85
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9600.936$426.29−$10.63
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? · No0.8710.820$412.65−$25.61
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9710.965$376.83−$2.71
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · No0.8300.815$348.92−$6.42
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9170.328$275.04−$494.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4101002273$90.22
11-01 23:06Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0710461746$12.11
11-01 22:18Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.954$20.03
11-01 22:18Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.957$28.71
11-01 22:03Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.021$4.62
11-01 21:55Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.076$2.69
11-01 21:55Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.082$0.73
11-01 21:55Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.076$1.36
11-01 21:20Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?SELL0.42$4.17
11-01 21:11Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.71$468.60
11-01 20:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5702723182$125.46
11-01 20:42Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?SELL0.59$56.20
11-01 20:40Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.71$243.24
11-01 20:40Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.72$5.90
11-01 20:39Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.72$124.56