leadernew
0x9c2d261969319d0afb4ca45973fe558a0c601b16
- Realised P&L
- $-90.69
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $165.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.04at 0.165Blue wave in 2026?
- +$56.44at 0.072US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- +$37.44at 0.032Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
- +$35.43at 0.057Yoon out of custody before 2027?
- +$33.38at 0.084Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:17 | Will Rutgers have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.15 |
| 09-24 14:14 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? | BUY | 0.962 | $38.48 |
| 09-24 14:10 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.91 |
| 09-24 14:02 | Will Rutgers have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.77 | $12.32 |
| 09-24 13:50 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.02 |
| 09-24 13:43 | Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.883 | $0.10 |
| 09-24 13:33 | Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.1120661894 | $5.90 |
| 09-24 13:29 | Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 1,099.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 13:25 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.19 |
| 09-24 13:25 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1293779894 | $10.40 |
| 09-24 13:24 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $14.72 |
| 09-24 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.66 |
| 09-24 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.20 |
| 09-24 13:07 | Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.96 |
| 09-24 12:50 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.39 |