PolyBot

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Traders

cdminix

0x5a5abbbdc08b89de850c75e67f82cb71f0a7da2e

Realised P&L
$-128.53
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
306
Open portfolio
$192.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded306
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9360.993$63.52+$3.62
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? · Yes0.6000.795$46.11+$11.31
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · No0.3300.290$17.40−$2.40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2860.350$14.37+$2.64
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6220.660$12.55+$0.73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2400.265$10.87+$1.02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.1900.195$10.14+$0.26
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7400.725$9.42−$0.19
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? · No0.4600.275$8.52−$5.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$16.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$131.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:12Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.19$9.88
10-30 13:11Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.74$9.61
10-30 13:11Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?BUY0.106$7.74
10-30 13:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.24$9.84
10-30 13:07Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?BUY0.46$9.20
10-30 13:05Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?BUY0.33$19.80
10-30 13:02JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?BUY0.6$34.80
10-25 23:16LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$151.21
10-25 22:24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.993514271$38.64
10-25 22:21LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9909999957$150.00
10-25 22:07Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?SELL0.9755720229$150.08
10-25 21:53Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9949999837$38.70
10-13 08:05Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.1904761905$2.00
10-13 08:04Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?SELL0.11$2.50
10-12 12:06Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?BUY0.9099999997$140.00