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Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.081,8011,801
0.094672,268
0.106502,918
0.126003,518
0.171,0004,518
0.184214,939
0.197005,639
0.321,0006,639
0.401,0007,639
0.631,7309,368
0.654199,787
0.672,42412,212

Spread0.02Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.062929
0.05448478
0.04168646
0.032,1062,752
0.022593,011
0.017773,788

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.942929
0.95448478
0.96168646
0.972,1062,752
0.982593,011
0.997773,788

Spread0.02Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.921,8011,801
0.914672,268
0.906502,918
0.886003,518
0.831,0004,518
0.824214,939
0.817005,639
0.681,0006,639
0.601,0007,639
0.371,7309,368
0.354199,787
0.332,42412,212

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
drogo69Yes1,408.1
IltangbaekYes149.56
neutralwave23Yes106.26
cgbspenderYes87.5
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes30.26
AJSVYes25.04
0x4e84…ef69Yes21.11
Numitus1994Yes21
jonrbzhqbwncYes13
HaradwaithYes1.73
nope3050No1,647.85
yungsoleimaniNo112.36
HarlucNo78.97
0xA5A9226076eAE3bE223aDf6971d97f9613aa1a7D-1759946773338No10.64
0x5284e589fed6fEe38346bFB3d744C747859B4C0F-1774921807167No5.38
browneNo5
TrumpILNo1.19
Matan17No1.08
0xcb67590aB77ACBD592714986fB6Fd1149ca5CB63-1783087498031No1.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:01:10BUYNo0.939999998111$10.00
23:29:12BUYNo0.92999999071$1.00
23:29:09BUYNo0.9379$73.44
11:47:55SELLYes0.0712$0.82
11:47:46BUYYes0.085413303912$1.00
09:22:04BUYYes0.0813$1.04
09:01:27BUYNo0.92999998885$5.00
02:47:37BUYYes0.0850$4.00
02:44:04BUYYes0.0838$3.00
19:02:19BUYNo0.935$4.65
14:34:54SELLNo0.924$3.38
14:34:51SELLNo0.92389$357.81
13:36:55SELLNo0.920$0.01
13:36:54BUYNo0.92999984191$1.00
06:55:06SELLYes0.09127$11.45
22:04:42SELLYes0.08238$19.05
18:49:46BUYYes0.0899999997150$13.46
15:22:55BUYYes0.1238$23.81
13:29:24SELLNo0.90$0.08
13:29:22SELLYes0.0810$0.80
21:22:25BUYNo0.8899999996112$100.00
12:17:58SELLYes0.1220$2.40
12:17:57SELLYes0.1320$2.60
12:17:36SELLYes0.1320$2.60
12:17:19SELLYes0.1340$5.20