Iltangbaek
0xe3de83f80ba5e14545a16a572974a810eac978dd
- Realised P&L
- $526.84
- Volume
- $106.8k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $339.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.08at 0.058Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$79.59at 0.132Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$70.10at 0.239Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
- +$66.43at 0.012Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
- +$57.50at 0.160Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.44 |
| 09-15 17:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | SELL | 0.095 | $8.10 |
| 09-15 17:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 17:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.087 | $0.43 |
| 09-15 17:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 17:01 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0645280899 | $0.80 |
| 09-15 11:42 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 11:03 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-15 11:03 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-15 11:03 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-15 11:00 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $8.42 |
| 09-15 02:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | SELL | 0.0492446423 | $5.03 |
| 09-15 02:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-15 02:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |