drogo69
0x3ffe0f919dc7bac333dd33c0d5204bf8d0b426f4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 640
- Open portfolio
- $52.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded640
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.018 | $42.14 | −$201.90 |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.525 | $10.50 | +$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.407Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.425Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
- +$1.1kat 0.012US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.029Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$985.60at 0.465Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:45 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-01 19:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.0173526985 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 19:31 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $12.00 |
| 10-01 19:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 19:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 10-01 19:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $28.00 |
| 10-01 19:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $14.40 |
| 10-01 19:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.84 |
| 10-01 19:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 19:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-28 17:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | SELL | 0.455419923 | $192.88 |
| 09-28 17:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.5823809524 | $73.38 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.6879948317 | $111.82 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $95.76 |
| 09-28 14:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.5851724138 | $152.73 |