PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cgbspender

0xfcbf904e45ec3a579180b9e038aeea9f98f5d0ef

Realised P&L
$-782.69
Volume
$63.2k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$206.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.9000.915$63.95+$1.05
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · Yes0.4100.400$50.73−$1.27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.2600.265$40.77+$0.77
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? · Yes0.3920.365$37.29−$2.71
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$9.20−$0.80
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.295$4.48−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:56US imports Russian diesel by November 15?BUY0.4099999956$12.00
11-01 21:53Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$4.74
11-01 21:52Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.25$7.68
11-01 21:47Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$9.61
11-01 21:47Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.25$10.18
11-01 18:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.9$62.90
11-01 18:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.2599999997$40.00
11-01 18:44US imports Russian diesel by November 15?BUY0.4099999984$40.00
11-01 18:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
11-01 18:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?BUY0.3915034397$40.00
11-01 18:38Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2799999978$20.00
10-25 23:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?SELL0.0049346883$0.97
10-25 23:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.2399999992$47.00
10-25 23:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.11$44.89
10-25 23:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.134$2.95