browne
0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942
- Realised P&L
- $64.1k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $83.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.0kat 0.704Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$12.0kat 0.646Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.2kat 0.421Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.780Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.373Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $70.69 |
| 11-01 18:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.3316396538 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 17:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9664919933 | $5.8k |
| 11-01 17:16 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.0422780043 | $97.24 |
| 11-01 14:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $7.9k |
| 11-01 13:48 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 13:47 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 11-01 13:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9690318 | $7.8k |
| 11-01 13:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:49 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 11:49 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $32.11 |
| 11-01 10:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.0k |
| 11-01 08:16 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.9989982647 | $5.8k |
| 10-31 18:21 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $125.89 |