PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

browne

0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942

Realised P&L
$47.4k
Volume
$2.27M
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$58.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.9080.950$11.0k+$490.28
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.9390.965$7.5k+$194.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7280.945$7.4k+$1.7k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8430.925$6.8k+$604.29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8800.970$5.2k+$479.58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.8230.945$3.9k+$507.98
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7560.755$2.9k$4.37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8300.865$2.2k+$87.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9490.969$1.9k+$39.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.7540.765$1.5k+$20.70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9190.915$1.3k$6.38
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7490.675$976.45$106.42
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.2480.016$876.25$12.7k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.325$747.10$517.33
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? · No0.9390.984$618.92+$27.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:30Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.9599166$2.4k
09-16 20:12US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.9597490637$2.6k
09-16 16:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$2.7k
09-16 16:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999997$1.5k
09-16 16:04Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.33$627.86
09-16 13:41Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$1.45
09-16 12:42Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$34.00
09-16 07:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.949$1.5k
09-16 06:12Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.93$1.4k
09-16 05:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.86$1.7k
09-15 19:26U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
09-15 19:05Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.98$261.34
09-15 19:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?SELL0.993$267.12
09-15 19:02Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.93$4.65
09-15 14:32Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9275$37.10