jonrbzhqbwnc
0x838b5142bcce6174be0dcc37a633dba8842746ed
- Realised P&L
- $-39.03
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $131.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.49at 0.090Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$19.06at 0.377US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$18.33at 0.091Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$16.60at 0.165Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$15.61at 0.544Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:48 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.10 |
| 07-26 15:11 | Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 07-19 15:01 | Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.46 |
| 07-14 11:30 | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 00:48 | Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0846535608 | $8.78 |
| 07-11 00:47 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.71 |
| 07-10 00:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 13:41 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 13:32 | Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.037 | $2.49 |
| 07-03 13:30 | Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.34 |
| 06-29 20:23 | Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.41 |
| 06-28 01:35 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 01:50 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.39 |
| 06-21 17:57 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 17:56 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |