jonrbzhqbwnc
0x838b5142bcce6174be0dcc37a633dba8842746ed
- Realised P&L
- $0.91
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $101.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.40at 0.043Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during his Executive Order signing?
- +$25.49at 0.090Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$19.06at 0.377US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$18.33at 0.091Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$16.79at 0.240Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:59 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-27 22:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.09 |
| 10-20 01:43 | Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.87 |
| 10-20 01:42 | Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.42 |
| 10-15 06:57 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 23:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 07:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-18 02:02 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-18 02:02 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:24 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.14 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 09:22 | Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 09:21 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.14 | $3.78 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.0778075 | $3.11 |
| 09-01 11:45 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-29 17:37 | Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.09 |