PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jonrbzhqbwnc

0x838b5142bcce6174be0dcc37a633dba8842746ed

Realised P&L
$0.91
Volume
$39.4k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$101.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:59Next Israeli government a minority government?BUY0.09$1.80
10-27 22:30Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.94$1.09
10-20 01:43Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$8.87
10-20 01:42Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$10.42
10-15 06:57Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.06$3.00
10-09 23:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.36$3.60
09-19 07:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$7.20
09-18 02:02Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.05$2.50
09-18 02:02Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.05$1.00
09-16 09:24Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.14$8.40
09-16 09:22Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.08$1.04
09-16 09:21Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.14$3.78
09-16 09:18Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.0778075$3.11
09-01 11:45Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.64$3.20
08-29 17:37Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$2.09