TrumpIL
0xa8dc705be8b8c7d0011b20ad5d75895f30f7fc7a
- Realised P&L
- $-31.27
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $20.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.00at 0.100Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.340Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.480Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 20:27 | Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 20:26 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 16:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799998437 | $1.07 |
| 04-08 16:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999302 | $1.07 |
| 04-08 16:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.329999832 | $1.10 |
| 04-08 16:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 03-09 18:17 | Will Trump's remarks not air? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 18:16 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 18:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 18:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3790009752 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 18:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 10:22 | Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.3499999844 | $9.00 |
| 02-28 10:21 | Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 10:16 | Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.349999965 | $6.00 |
| 02-28 10:16 | Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |