PolyBot

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Traders

TrumpIL

0xa8dc705be8b8c7d0011b20ad5d75895f30f7fc7a

Realised P&L
$-31.27
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$20.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.5700.985$17.28+$7.28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3800.546$1.54+$0.47
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? · No0.8400.930$1.11+$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.165$0.55$0.55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2750.065$0.50$1.60
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · No0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$2.07
Will Trump's remarks not air? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET? · No0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Israel strikes Iran by September 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$2.00
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Yemen by September 30? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 20:27Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
09-07 20:26Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
04-08 16:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3799998437$1.07
04-08 16:15Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999302$1.07
04-08 16:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.329999832$1.10
04-08 16:12Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
03-09 18:17Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY0.2$1.00
03-09 18:16US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY0.4$1.00
03-09 18:15Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.064$1.00
03-09 18:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3790009752$1.00
03-09 18:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
02-28 10:22Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.3499999844$9.00
02-28 10:21Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
02-28 10:16Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.349999965$6.00
02-28 10:16Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.3499998775$1.00