PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb67590aB77ACBD592714986fB6Fd1149ca5CB63-1783087498031

0xcb67590ab77acbd592714986fb6fd1149ca5cb63

Realised P&L
$35.59
Volume
$87.9k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$151.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.2390.115$20.15$21.74
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8980.945$20.00+$1.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8650.920$15.91+$0.95
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.4120.340$15.67$3.33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1880.105$15.58$12.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9330.978$12.57+$0.57
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9450.975$7.22+$0.22
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.4760.615$6.46+$1.46
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9750.981$6.12+$0.04
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.9020.950$5.27+$0.27
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9600.985$5.17+$0.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9400.935$1.99$0.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.330$1.88+$0.06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3880.346$1.79$0.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0800.065$1.63$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.16
09-18 02:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.07
09-18 02:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.09
09-18 01:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.16
09-18 01:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-18 01:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.15
09-18 00:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.16
09-18 00:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$0.16
09-17 23:28Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.13$0.01
09-17 20:07Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.13$0.01
09-17 19:42Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.1$0.01
09-17 04:30Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.983$0.10
09-17 03:48Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.983$0.13
09-17 03:48Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.983$0.10
09-16 23:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.9649999952$1.00