Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 1.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.028. up 0.009 over the period, from 0.019. Range 0.019 to 0.029. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	3,331	3,331
0.030	13,473	16,804
0.031	47,519	64,323
0.032	49,574	113,897
0.033	49,332	163,229
0.034	50,855	214,084
0.035	48,000	262,084
0.036	2,447	264,531
0.037	3,000	267,531
0.038	8,790	276,321
0.039	28,616	304,937
0.040	5,555	310,492

Spread0.002Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	1,544	1,544
0.026	5,450	6,994
0.025	12,592	19,586
0.024	24,500	44,086
0.023	52,239	96,325
0.022	33,637	129,962
0.021	137,261	267,223
0.020	164,623	431,846
0.019	159,688	591,534
0.018	47,377	638,910
0.017	19,056	657,967
0.015	120,200	778,167

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	1,544	1,544
0.974	5,450	6,994
0.975	12,592	19,586
0.976	24,500	44,086
0.977	52,239	96,325
0.978	33,637	129,962
0.979	137,261	267,223
0.980	164,623	431,846
0.981	159,688	591,534
0.982	47,377	638,910
0.983	19,056	657,967
0.985	120,200	778,167

Spread0.002Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	3,331	3,331
0.970	13,473	16,804
0.969	47,519	64,323
0.968	49,574	113,897
0.967	49,332	163,229
0.966	50,855	214,084
0.965	48,000	262,084
0.964	2,447	264,531
0.963	3,000	267,531
0.962	8,790	276,321
0.961	28,616	304,937
0.960	5,555	310,492

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SRploy	Yes	5,115.35
xinyuan	Yes	3,953.16
0xa169…1b73	Yes	401.83
attempt-most	Yes	400
Car	Yes	323.64
AJSV	Yes	277.33
Numitus1994	Yes	201
thecaricature	Yes	200
Dr.PNL	Yes	11.92
jksdnf	Yes	7.1
BunCaCham	No	2,995
laureman	No	1,700
Tenebrus7	No	1,382
TronOG	No	1,083.18
1nvoker1	No	991.77
Sponsinator	No	800
Treld	No	500
peterfromfamilyguy	No	500
0xa5ef…2966	No	277.33
puravida	No	215

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:41:29	SELL	Yes	0.027	55	$1.49
12:04:17	BUY	Yes	0.029	200	$5.80
10:53:32	SELL	Yes	0.027	16	$0.44
09:06:01	BUY	No	0.972	1,700	$1652.40
09:03:02	BUY	Yes	0.029	1,300	$37.70
06:25:07	BUY	No	0.973	7	$6.91
06:24:28	BUY	No	0.973	7	$6.91
06:24:24	BUY	No	0.9729999876	1	$1.10
06:24:21	SELL	No	0.97	357	$346.47
06:22:19	SELL	No	0.971	200	$194.19
06:22:10	BUY	No	0.974	15	$14.42
06:22:09	BUY	Yes	0.0286784325	2,653	$76.09
06:18:19	SELL	Yes	0.026	128	$3.33
05:58:13	SELL	No	0.973	73	$71.03
04:29:14	BUY	Yes	0.028	201	$5.63
03:42:08	SELL	No	0.972	46	$44.55
03:30:33	SELL	No	0.972	200	$194.40
03:29:36	SELL	No	0.973	1,205	$1172.46
03:28:29	BUY	Yes	0.02684	5,000	$134.20
03:09:39	SELL	Yes	0.024	44	$1.06
03:09:38	SELL	No	0.975	73	$71.17
03:09:36	BUY	Yes	0.025	1,000	$25.00
02:14:27	BUY	Yes	0.025	44	$1.10
02:14:23	SELL	Yes	0.023	88	$2.02
02:14:20	BUY	Yes	0.025	200	$5.00