PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

laureman

0x1359911d098bf507069e7e22370e6f6cae3f092e

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$359.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$80.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9820.979$19.2k$58.26
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9770.981$9.5k+$42.40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8680.865$8.5k$30.56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$6.7k$120.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8130.730$5.4k$617.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8500.855$5.2k+$30.49
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · No0.9770.980$4.0k+$12.70
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7310.745$2.3k+$44.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7800.755$2.3k$75.00
Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026? · No0.9530.986$2.2k+$72.38
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · No0.9410.935$1.9k$11.41
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.840$1.7k+$0.00
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.755$1.5k$50.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6600.625$1.2k$70.00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? · No0.9610.966$1.2k+$5.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:35Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$991.17
09-15 20:40Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.74$849.81
09-15 19:22Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?SELL0.95$0.51
09-15 16:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.99$1.3k
09-15 12:57Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9625463415$394.64
09-15 12:56Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9478579257$190.27
09-15 12:35Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.92$128.80
09-15 10:58Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
09-15 10:58Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.84$203.82
09-15 10:57Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.84$1.1k
09-15 09:03Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9622233589$1.1k
09-14 21:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.954$56.94
09-14 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.963$58.95
09-14 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.962$9.62
09-14 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.961$59.23
Trader laureman · PolyBot Pro