laureman
0x1359911d098bf507069e7e22370e6f6cae3f092e
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $359.4k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $80.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$534.77at 0.965LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$367.42at 0.950Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?
- +$263.18at 0.974LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$195.80at 0.940US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$57.20at 0.990LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $991.17 |
| 09-15 20:40 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $849.81 |
| 09-15 19:22 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.51 |
| 09-15 16:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 12:57 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9625463415 | $394.64 |
| 09-15 12:56 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9478579257 | $190.27 |
| 09-15 12:35 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $128.80 |
| 09-15 10:58 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-15 10:58 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $203.82 |
| 09-15 10:57 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 09:03 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9622233589 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 21:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.954 | $56.94 |
| 09-14 21:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.963 | $58.95 |
| 09-14 21:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.962 | $9.62 |
| 09-14 21:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.961 | $59.23 |