puravida
0x80a4552cdcde3b861b8adc146ab1fbd4711022cc
- Realised P&L
- $43.3k
- Volume
- $7.37M
- Markets traded
- 2,313
- Open portfolio
- $35.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,313
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.088Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.110Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.3kat 0.892Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.456Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.7kat 0.188Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:01 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $29.99 |
| 09-17 04:00 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.19 |
| 09-16 21:30 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.1749882223 | $37.89 |
| 09-16 20:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $220.27 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $174.07 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $24.34 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $34.10 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $82.46 |
| 09-16 18:12 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 09-16 14:46 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.1 | $331.29 |
| 09-16 03:46 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.53 |
| 09-15 20:03 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-15 19:44 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.68 |
| 09-15 13:43 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $33.81 |
| 09-15 13:41 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.84 |