PolyBot

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Traders

xinyuan

0x52ee6e7196709274b0a024a933ad6cfd7b972f52

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$213.2k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9970.997$996.50−$0.50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8900.973$759.71+$64.45
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No0.9300.980$148.88+$7.52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9420.961$146.00+$2.81
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · No0.9640.979$130.52+$2.00
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0290.028$110.69−$3.09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9100.925$108.22+$1.76
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0360.035$102.95−$1.45
USDC depeg by December 31? · No0.9890.985$47.28−$0.19
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.215$21.50+$2.50
Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets0.0310.000$0.00−$195.12
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$23.07
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026?? · Yes0.6820.000$0.00−$302.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:41Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.383$61.77
10-13 12:41Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.3185471$159.27
10-13 09:03Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.029$37.70
10-13 06:24Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.322$161.00
10-13 06:23Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.382$61.61
10-13 06:22Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.036$104.40
10-13 06:22Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0286784325$76.09
10-13 06:21Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$994.00
10-13 06:21Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.982$341.38
10-06 01:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$997.00
10-06 01:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.7929557867$1.2k
10-06 01:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.206$309.00
09-17 13:47Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.78$1.2k
09-17 13:47Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.221$331.50
09-17 13:46Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00