xinyuan
0x52ee6e7196709274b0a024a933ad6cfd7b972f52
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $213.2k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.001Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
- +$399.76at 0.175Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$300.00at 0.700Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$143.59at 0.112Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$100.45at 0.818Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:41 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.383 | $61.77 |
| 10-13 12:41 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.3185471 | $159.27 |
| 10-13 09:03 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.029 | $37.70 |
| 10-13 06:24 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.322 | $161.00 |
| 10-13 06:23 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.382 | $61.61 |
| 10-13 06:22 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.036 | $104.40 |
| 10-13 06:22 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0286784325 | $76.09 |
| 10-13 06:21 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $994.00 |
| 10-13 06:21 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.982 | $341.38 |
| 10-06 01:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 10-06 01:54 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.7929557867 | $1.2k |
| 10-06 01:54 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.206 | $309.00 |
| 09-17 13:47 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 13:47 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.221 | $331.50 |
| 09-17 13:46 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |