Treld
0x8b304f2217ecc35852b5ab8c84edf2ac3558fe2e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.60
- Volume
- $682.80
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $20.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.13at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?
- +$2.79at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6?
- +$2.49at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?
- +$1.94at 0.612Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 10-08 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 10-08 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-08 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 10-07 09:32 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 10-06 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-06 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-06 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 10-06 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-06 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-06 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |