PolyBot

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Traders

Treld

0x8b304f2217ecc35852b5ab8c84edf2ac3558fe2e

Realised P&L
$-11.60
Volume
$682.80
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$20.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? · Yes0.5700.555$11.10−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? · No0.8000.800$4.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9? · Yes0.4500.425$2.13−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10? · Yes0.4100.325$1.63−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8? · Yes0.4800.460$0.96−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9? · Yes0.1600.140$0.70−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10? · Yes0.1300.085$0.42−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 5? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$0.85
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.41$2.05
10-08 08:30Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10?BUY0.13$0.65
10-08 08:29Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9?BUY0.16$0.80
10-08 08:27Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?BUY0.8$4.00
10-08 08:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?BUY0.45$2.25
10-08 08:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?BUY0.57$11.40
10-07 09:32Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.002$0.00
10-06 08:18Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 7?BUY0.42$2.10
10-06 07:53Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 7?BUY0.37$1.85
10-06 07:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.22$1.10
10-06 07:52Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7?BUY0.15$1.05
10-06 07:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.31$1.55
10-06 07:49Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 7?BUY0.6$3.00
10-06 07:47Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?BUY0.62$3.10
10-06 07:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.22$1.10