jksdnf
0xb6bfdbe82806e546256779492da0c4a060e3c1c1
- Realised P&L
- $-35.13
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $29.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.029Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.74at 0.065Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
- +$0.69at 0.087Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$0.64at 0.090Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.047Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-25 05:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.56 |
| 12-29 09:39 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.39 |
| 11-04 09:49 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.31 |
| 10-30 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.23 |
| 10-22 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 04:44 | Will Solana reach $260 October 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.64 |
| 10-12 03:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $5,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.60 |
| 10-02 05:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 September 29-October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.56 |
| 09-30 03:48 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.53 |
| 09-25 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $128,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.49 |
| 02-10 09:12 | Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 12-29 11:39 | Everton wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 12-29 11:39 | West Ham United wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.37 |
| 12-29 11:39 | Leicester City wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 12-29 11:38 | Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.27 |