peterfromfamilyguy
0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227
- Realised P&L
- $41.2k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $23.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.621US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.567US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.494Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
- +$3.9kat 0.523US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$3.5kat 0.110Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1423170206 | $39.61 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $76.45 |
| 08-02 20:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $128.30 |
| 08-02 20:27 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2854 | $71.35 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 20:24 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.8605163229 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 02:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3189628483 | $20.61 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.5897624139 | $248.23 |
| 08-02 02:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1063907578 | $243.40 |
| 08-02 02:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2898615 | $579.72 |
| 08-02 02:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $403.33 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.12007665 | $240.15 |
| 08-02 02:14 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $145.20 |
| 08-02 02:06 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.3294790976 | $347.88 |
| 08-02 02:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.7994872955 | $1.2k |