PolyBot

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Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.027. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.004 to 0.043. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.050172172
0.16050222
0.165100322
0.16610332
0.16720352
0.18975427
0.190170597
0.20250647
0.20350697
0.204100797
0.257100897
0.25850947

Spread0.046Mid0.027

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0041010
0.003305315
0.002413728
0.0011,1711,899

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9961010
0.997305315
0.998413728
0.9991,1711,899

Spread0.046Mid0.973

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.950172172
0.84050222
0.835100322
0.83410332
0.83320352
0.81175427
0.810170597
0.79850647
0.79750697
0.796100797
0.743100897
0.74250947

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Hot-SkullYes859.48
caspar1248Yes700
x1099Yes293.51
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes170
0.5percentYes167
Z91EXYes125
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
LornaPredictsYes94.65
plytest2Yes71.25
AJSVYes60.67
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes51.35
HerrieDavisYes50.67
a5533Yes50
Numitus1994Yes45.1
KastellvalenYes40.2
GingerMcKennaYes33.82
0xca75…0a64Yes20.97
taerv534Yes20
Mojito9Yes19.93
totti82Yes15.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:12:07BUYYes0.009125$1.13
07:12:55BUYNo0.9975$4.99
19:16:27BUYNo0.99410$9.94
19:16:27BUYNo0.994602343813$12.73
19:16:27BUYNo0.99410$10.06
11:18:16BUYYes0.006137$0.82
05:51:04BUYNo0.9969999992$1.95
05:42:21BUYNo0.9972$1.55
05:42:21BUYNo0.99745$44.87
05:42:21BUYNo0.99717$16.95
05:42:21BUYNo0.9976$6.42
05:15:42BUYNo0.996610555618$17.94
05:15:42BUYNo0.9962$2.36
05:14:27BUYNo0.9966$5.60
10:00:34BUYNo0.9975$4.99
10:00:34SELLYes0.0031536200$0.63
10:00:34BUYNo0.9975$4.99
10:00:34BUYNo0.994316588285$84.52
00:38:01BUYNo0.9945$4.97
00:38:01BUYNo0.9946$5.82
00:27:48BUYNo0.9945$4.97
00:27:24BUYNo0.9945$4.97
04:52:54BUYNo0.99399999621$1.04
01:59:16SELLYes0.0065$0.03
22:43:10BUYNo0.99410$9.94