totti82
0x5f83cbdc8e5b354a1927e97d6a666e5a09835dc1
- Realised P&L
- $-468.02
- Volume
- $56.1k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.00at 0.100Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?
- +$443.35at 0.724Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$354.00at 0.747US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$345.52at 0.743Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$266.67at 0.600Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.889 | $79.48 |
| 09-14 17:46 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $490.00 |
| 09-10 16:48 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $78.10 |
| 09-07 16:51 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.4162537145 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 14:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $800.00 |
| 09-07 07:58 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.867928082 | $500.00 |
| 09-07 07:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999986 | $120.00 |
| 09-07 07:53 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.439999999 | $73.00 |
| 09-07 07:49 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | BUY | 0.9129999992 | $45.00 |
| 09-07 07:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $170.00 |
| 09-06 09:02 | US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 09:02 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 09:01 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 09:01 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 10:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999997 | $230.00 |