braindance
0x7ff394077c6f0c6bfa8ac665d882da9a2024e007
- Realised P&L
- $-204.21
- Volume
- $43.4k
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $368.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.17at 0.508Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
- +$23.37at 0.126Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$21.63at 0.389Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
- +$21.00at 0.540Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.78at 0.036Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:05 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $32.55 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:53 | Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.202 | $2.02 |
| 09-30 21:50 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-30 21:46 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-30 21:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 09-30 20:56 | Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.58 |
| 09-30 20:51 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 20:13 | Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.94 |
| 09-30 13:13 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.80 |
| 09-29 22:21 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 09-29 18:28 | Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 18:27 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 09-29 13:39 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 07:06 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |