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Traders

braindance

0x7ff394077c6f0c6bfa8ac665d882da9a2024e007

Realised P&L
$-204.21
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
522
Open portfolio
$368.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded522
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8900.914$106.07+$2.84
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5000.685$34.25+$9.25
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.735$22.05+$11.55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.4600.720$21.60+$7.80
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.3860.384$19.20−$0.10
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5300.850$17.00+$6.40
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.2800.720$14.40+$8.80
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.4500.450$13.50+$0.00
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.645$12.90+$2.90
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.2700.500$12.50+$5.75
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3900.415$12.45+$0.75
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.3500.445$8.81+$1.88
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1150.406$8.11+$5.81
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? · No0.4900.655$6.55+$1.65
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5500.435$6.53−$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:05Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$32.55
09-30 22:03Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.24$6.00
09-30 21:53Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.202$2.02
09-30 21:50Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.27$5.40
09-30 21:46Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.39$11.70
09-30 21:43Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.46$13.80
09-30 20:56Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.044$1.58
09-30 20:51Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.5$25.00
09-30 20:13Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?SELL0.56$10.94
09-30 13:13Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.2$5.80
09-29 22:21Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.53$10.60
09-29 18:28Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?BUY0.5$10.00
09-29 18:27Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$24.00
09-29 13:39Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?SELL0.5$5.00
09-29 07:06Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$18.00
Trader braindance · PolyBot Pro