PolyBot

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Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.021 to 0.028. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0384848
0.0394088
0.040500588
0.04216604
0.06342646
0.18020666
0.62685751
0.6275756
0.714150906
0.71550956
0.7291001,056
0.740401,096

Spread0.029Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009100100
0.0089109
0.0066115
0.005100215
0.00418233
0.003112345
0.002168514
0.001377890

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991100100
0.9929109
0.9946115
0.995100215
0.99618233
0.997112345
0.998168514
0.999377890

Spread0.029Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9624848
0.9614088
0.960500588
0.95816604
0.93742646
0.82020666
0.37485751
0.3735756
0.286150906
0.28550956
0.2711001,056
0.260401,096

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes90
AJSVYes68.2
LornaPredictsYes65.05
a5533Yes50
Numitus1994Yes42
0x104b2b96CC61109F43156c2A360810990C6ac4a3-1773266925671Yes20
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes20
0xca75…0a64Yes20
pinnerYes20
wert4Yes17.91
Mojito9Yes15.4
tryrktryYes5
0xd0d9…30f2Yes5
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes4.99
bjproloYes2.1
notrandom2Yes1.2
DREAMBIG.No220.91
0xa5ef…2966No190.51
Serene-SaviorNo35.34
doesntlistenNo1.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:17:16BUYNo0.9921$1.19
04:17:16BUYNo0.989221$218.48
02:01:09SELLYes0.016$0.06
15:07:51BUYYes0.0412085$0.21
15:07:49BUYYes0.045$0.20
02:06:54BUYNo0.9942165$4.97
02:06:54BUYNo0.9916$5.95
20:27:49BUYYes0.04118$0.73
20:27:49BUYYes0.04120$0.82
15:54:10SELLNo0.951$0.99
15:54:10SELLNo0.96438243941$39.54
15:06:06BUYNo0.990332232835$35.00
01:02:24SELLNo0.9641$1.08
00:12:33BUYNo0.975$4.85
00:09:46BUYNo0.964012540$38.56
00:09:46BUYNo0.978$7.76
00:04:27BUYNo0.961$1.00
00:04:27BUYNo0.9341$38.13
08:15:01BUYNo0.916$14.45
08:14:27BUYNo0.95$4.52
02:17:46BUYYes0.129999938914$1.83
09:04:31BUYNo0.8899999111$1.00
02:44:19SELLYes0.1416$2.24
02:43:16BUYNo0.8620$17.20
02:43:16BUYNo0.8616$13.76