notrandom2
0x5dd5791d55a7e52c71ef7e7276ec064f3afd1fcf
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $126.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,351
- Open portfolio
- $443.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,351
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.37at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?
- +$59.23at 0.042Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$49.30at 0.010Will Mclaren Mastercard achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
- +$42.96at 0.015Will Marcus Smart play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
- +$42.30at 0.018Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 03:05 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.04 |
| 08-03 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 19:55 | Will A Just Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.00 |
| 08-02 13:24 | Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 13:24 | Will Bruno Fernandes join Al-Hilal? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 13:24 | Exact Score: FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Exact Score: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 2 - 3 POFC Botev Vratsa? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Exact Score: Gimpo FC 3 - 3 Gyeongnam FC? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Exact Score: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 3 - 3 POFC Botev Vratsa? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Exact Score: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 0 - 3 POFC Botev Vratsa? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.12 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.04 |