PolyBot

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Traders

DREAMBIG.

0x9e8ecc4cb3c4e48f544cba2fbbb252a6a65e8db8

Realised P&L
$146.1k
Volume
$1.99M
Markets traded
4,879
Open portfolio
$134.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded4,879
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5001.000$55.0k+$27.5k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.876$36.8k+$15.8k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.986$10.3k+$5.1k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.123$5.2k−$15.8k
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.2780.845$1.9k+$1.3k
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7650.859$1.5k+$160.21
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8640.945$1.1k+$91.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9110.925$1.1k+$16.25
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.8460.810$939.60−$42.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9210.928$919.36+$7.29
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? · No0.9091.000$865.38+$78.15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3700.860$860.00+$490.00
Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.9180.915$802.44−$3.12
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.9550.925$786.25−$25.15
Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.9080.925$741.49+$13.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:28Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.91$524.36
10-30 18:27Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.9021596657$615.32
10-30 17:02Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.9180259688$135.75
10-30 17:02Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.82$4.12
10-29 22:47Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.19$78.50
10-29 17:01Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 20, 2026?BUY0.9251807229$76.79
10-29 16:55Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 11, 2026?BUY0.91$64.61
10-28 21:09Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.18$18.00
10-28 20:59Israeli Knesset election annulled?SELL0.12$2.39
10-23 20:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.24$197.29
10-17 16:58Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.9226773153$28.59
10-15 22:32Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9160784314$93.44
10-04 21:00Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.13$58.50
09-16 03:09Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4523179101$204.31
09-14 04:17Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?BUY0.989$218.48