Serene-Savior
0xed1696f82de0e4155887c0d5a489daacb690cc75
- Realised P&L
- $347.13
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.46at 0.104Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
- +$67.96at 0.916Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14?
- +$65.03at 0.731Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 7?
- +$30.79at 0.490Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 7?
- +$26.94at 0.602Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 14:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.9796312777 | $698.32 |
| 09-14 17:13 | Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9853468635 | $106.81 |
| 09-14 17:12 | Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $410.07 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will no Rogan episode air? | BUY | 0.9981769547 | $242.56 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will "Obsolete" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9861578689 | $462.01 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9897942043 | $426.61 |
| 09-14 17:03 | Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9896994554 | $429.41 |
| 09-14 17:02 | Will "OpenAI" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.980918589 | $630.92 |
| 09-14 17:02 | Will "Microsoft" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9897963042 | $431.01 |
| 09-14 17:02 | Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9897963467 | $431.10 |
| 09-14 17:01 | Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.987775916 | $482.10 |
| 09-14 17:01 | Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9892145103 | $440.40 |
| 09-14 17:00 | Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9878617473 | $654.37 |
| 09-14 17:00 | Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 14? | BUY | 0.9797086011 | $695.28 |