Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	41	41
0.007	195	237
0.009	66	302
0.010	119	422
0.017	37	459
0.018	80	539
0.640	139	678
0.641	236	914
0.643	25	939
0.645	42	981
0.646	25	1,006
0.649	20	1,026

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	292	292
0.002	5	297
0.001	2,578	2,875

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	292	292
0.998	5	297
0.999	2,578	2,875

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	41	41
0.993	195	237
0.991	66	302
0.990	119	422
0.983	37	459
0.982	80	539
0.360	139	678
0.359	236	914
0.357	25	939
0.355	42	981
0.354	25	1,006
0.351	20	1,026

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	1,660
LornaPredicts	Yes	1,013.92
0x7E31d9C99552d884029eAAE4Bd65959eF60D6D29-1781524468507	Yes	909.09
0xb09e50B5d98cDC105c50836394423B6f53FF8211-1767505311167	Yes	688.04
m5297	Yes	555.56
0xCaa85B5d6E66C2689eb8a0Da535DE4A4eA4ecF5d-1768056213379	Yes	485.1
rocky42002	Yes	433.42
0xace69632b9E35Aeaf90a3f1A6D44b9C897536C02-1768024170575	Yes	429.44
user9318	Yes	333.33
howtodo	Yes	311.16
mehanizator	Yes	310.93
0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822	Yes	300
crazymerlyn	Yes	255.01
cryyy	Yes	250
jojomarcelo	Yes	250
suntori	Yes	201.68
balthazar	Yes	200.48
lele1313	Yes	195.42
2B9S	Yes	187.44
haruk098	Yes	135

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:03:42	SELL	Yes	0.003	10	$0.03
21:31:33	SELL	Yes	0.003	0	$0.00
21:23:21	SELL	Yes	0.003	5	$0.01
21:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.003	5	$0.01
21:23:10	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
20:21:33	SELL	Yes	0.003	3	$0.01
15:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	8	$7.98
05:39:01	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
02:59:09	SELL	Yes	0.0042222901	82	$0.35
17:58:36	SELL	Yes	0.005	10	$0.05
17:58:30	SELL	Yes	0.005	5	$0.02
17:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.005	0	$0.00
17:58:18	SELL	Yes	0.005	5	$0.03
03:27:45	SELL	No	0.991	1	$1.05
01:31:16	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:26:12	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:21:07	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:15:58	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:10:54	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:05:49	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
01:00:45	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
00:55:39	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
00:50:34	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
00:45:31	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
00:40:27	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02