0xCaa85B5d6E66C2689eb8a0Da535DE4A4eA4ecF5d-1768056213379
0xcaa85b5d6e66c2689eb8a0da535de4a4ea4ecf5d
- Realised P&L
- $-45.00
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $28.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.00at 0.020US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$27.44at 0.068Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$19.97at 0.048Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$10.72at 0.070Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$8.65at 0.510Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 12:50 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.0146060599 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 12:50 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.0150943396 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 12:50 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 12:47 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.08 |
| 05-01 14:59 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.026999973 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:59 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on May 31? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 27 2026? | BUY | 0.0150473521 | $2.00 |
| 05-01 14:50 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026? | BUY | 0.0095000143 | $2.00 |
| 05-01 14:50 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of April 27 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:48 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:48 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:48 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |