howtodo
0x756557652b229d058e6e1dd263dabdd46a208fd8
- Realised P&L
- $-156.45
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $1.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.029 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.501Jazz vs. Grizzlies
- +$10.69at 0.378Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$4.88at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?
- +$4.27at 0.397Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 14?
- +$3.35at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 05:26 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3689997808 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 05:25 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 05:25 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 02:26 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 02:26 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 02:25 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 02:24 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 09:10 | Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 09:09 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 09:09 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 09:09 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 09:08 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 10:00 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.96 |
| 04-21 10:00 | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $0.95 |
| 04-21 10:00 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |