user9318
0x03ab215b8044acfb8ff2138f320d0fd2497055a8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.04
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.025 | $1.68 | −$1.09 |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.045 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.96 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.31at 0.260QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$-0.00at 0.260Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 06:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 00:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? | BUY | 0.0293829297 | $0.92 |
| 04-18 00:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 23:50 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.30 |
| 04-17 05:44 | Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 05:39 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0178976257 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 05:37 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 05:30 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 05:25 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 05:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.98 |
| 03-20 02:34 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | BUY | 0.0710000053 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 13:50 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999861 | $2.77 |
| 03-17 14:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2599999833 | $9.98 |