PolyBot

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Traders

0xb09e50B5d98cDC105c50836394423B6f53FF8211-1767505311167

0xb09e50b5d98cdc105c50836394423b6f53ff8211

Realised P&L
$162.36
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$2.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0360.004$2.41$22.59
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1600.000$0.00$10.85
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$20.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15? · Down0.1800.000$0.00$9.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$5.80
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$3.40
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1300.000$0.00$20.00
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0120.000$0.00$22.23
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-18 08:50US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.46$23.00
01-15 06:59Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.001$0.41
01-14 08:51Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
01-04 07:15Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.0363351093$25.00
01-04 07:11Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.04$5.00
01-04 07:05US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?BUY0.1$10.00
01-04 06:03No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
01-04 06:01Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$20.00
01-04 05:58Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.389999986$10.00
01-04 05:55US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
01-04 05:54US bank failure by January 31?BUY0.059999989$5.00