Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.067. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.070. Range 0.050 to 0.162. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.112	69	69
0.113	136	205
0.115	100	305
0.150	20	325
0.198	10	335
0.199	9	344
0.200	20	364
0.248	10	374
0.250	10	384
0.314	10	394
0.315	5	399
0.316	10	408

Spread0.091Mid0.067

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	70	70
0.018	59	129
0.015	67	196
0.012	12	207
0.011	11	218
0.010	19	237
0.009	57	294
0.008	30	324
0.007	50	374
0.006	61	435
0.005	8	443
0.003	168	611

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	70	70
0.982	59	129
0.985	67	196
0.988	12	207
0.989	11	218
0.990	19	237
0.991	57	294
0.992	30	324
0.993	50	374
0.994	61	435
0.995	8	443
0.997	168	611

Spread0.091Mid0.933

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.888	69	69
0.887	136	205
0.885	100	305
0.850	20	325
0.802	10	335
0.801	9	344
0.800	20	364
0.752	10	374
0.750	10	384
0.686	10	394
0.685	5	399
0.684	10	408

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
demosthenes474	Yes	4,456.77
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	1,659.56
LornaPredicts	Yes	442.75
0x90d1f174263A54C5CCc546C021BB85C3be9cf62A-1749603304574	Yes	378.49
0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822	Yes	300
crazymerlyn	Yes	255.01
Funny5635	Yes	200
orin40	Yes	184.98
AJSV	Yes	180
2B9S	Yes	171.31
52adsa	Yes	167.02
Biver52	Yes	166.51
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	136.01
haruk098	Yes	135
wtfsss	Yes	130.64
0xace69632b9E35Aeaf90a3f1A6D44b9C897536C02-1768024170575	Yes	121.37
Niromero	Yes	118.18
aHjCz	Yes	102
BSS37	Yes	100
xiaodouzi	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:02:54	SELL	No	0.8260461538	10	$8.59
05:39:01	BUY	No	0.986	5	$4.93
02:01:09	SELL	Yes	0.013	10	$0.13
18:43:49	BUY	Yes	0.018	73	$1.32
17:58:36	SELL	Yes	0.006	10	$0.06
17:58:30	SELL	Yes	0.006	5	$0.03
17:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.006	0	$0.00
17:58:18	SELL	Yes	0.006	5	$0.03
03:27:52	SELL	No	0.982	1	$1.02
21:39:42	SELL	Yes	0.008	1	$0.01
11:47:13	SELL	Yes	0.006	40	$0.24
06:31:01	BUY	No	0.9942264974	25	$25.06
06:29:27	BUY	No	0.994	7	$6.96
06:27:49	BUY	No	0.994	5	$4.97
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.99	19	$18.51
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
00:14:46	BUY	No	0.99	5	$4.95
01:35:33	BUY	No	0.992	13	$12.70
04:48:07	BUY	Yes	0.018	8	$0.14
04:48:01	BUY	Yes	0.017	9	$0.15
22:30:13	BUY	Yes	0.018	3	$0.05
22:30:07	BUY	Yes	0.018	19	$0.34
22:30:01	BUY	Yes	0.018	4	$0.07
22:29:55	BUY	Yes	0.017	13	$0.22
22:29:49	BUY	Yes	0.015	22	$0.33