PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x90d1f174263A54C5CCc546C021BB85C3be9cf62A-1749603304574

0x90d1f174263a54c5ccc546c021bb85c3be9cf62a

Realised P&L
$-22.9k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$19.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0070.051$19.49+$16.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$80.70
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$17.60
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$23.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$74.80
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$18.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00$3.1k
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$2.5k
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$49.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$39.44
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$17.64
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$56.68
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$187.10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$17.82
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$112.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 04:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.016$3.84
05-03 04:00Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.041$8.20
05-03 03:55Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.047$5.92
05-03 03:54Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.046$0.52
05-03 03:52Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.046$1.84
05-01 22:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.017$28.90
05-01 22:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.017$2.04
04-30 20:04Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.049$49.00
04-30 18:49Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?BUY0.022$2.42
04-30 18:45Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.011$2.44
04-30 18:42Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.01$1.27
04-30 18:37Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?BUY0.018$2.03
04-30 18:35Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.01$2.09
04-30 18:32Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?BUY0.015$1.39
04-30 17:57Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.033$1.38