0x90d1f174263A54C5CCc546C021BB85C3be9cf62A-1749603304574
0x90d1f174263a54c5ccc546c021bb85c3be9cf62a
- Realised P&L
- $-24.6k
- Volume
- $3.24M
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $957.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.126Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$201.36at 0.0072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$14.37at 0.116Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-0.07at 0.034Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$-1.93at 0.062Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:02 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.28 |
| 10-28 01:46 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | BUY | 0.0215151515 | $3.55 |
| 10-27 20:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $86.40 |
| 10-27 20:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $407.88 |
| 10-26 21:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $747.20 |
| 10-25 16:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.45 |
| 10-25 16:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.77 |
| 10-24 15:27 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0356252614 | $15.16 |
| 10-24 14:43 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0377167665 | $16.05 |
| 10-24 04:57 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $13.90 |
| 10-24 04:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $15.69 |
| 10-24 04:48 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $10.78 |
| 10-23 22:18 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.048044288 | $21.70 |
| 10-23 22:17 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0245883578 | $30.59 |
| 10-23 22:17 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0513607254 | $30.93 |