PolyBot

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Traders

orin40

0xd4932b0fa75ed34bbd4cf90183eb971d91d27f04

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$7.33M
Markets traded
8,219
Open portfolio
$602.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,219
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 05:21Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.02$0.39
06-19 04:41Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.02$2.13
06-16 07:18Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.001$0.05
05-23 06:46Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$0.10
04-02 21:51Will OG Anunoby lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.002$0.01
03-26 15:37James Norton announced as next James Bond?SELL0.002$0.20
02-17 17:30Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.025$2.50
02-16 17:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0838073197$12.46
02-14 07:20Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.016$1.60
02-13 21:04Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.02$1.96
02-13 18:52Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.026$2.60
02-13 17:10Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.04$4.00
02-13 16:22Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.036$3.60
02-13 14:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.05$5.00
02-13 11:37Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.049$4.90