Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.067. up 0.033 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.021 to 0.070. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.093	14	14
0.094	49	63
0.139	8	71
0.140	9	81
0.165	143	224
0.231	10	234
0.232	69	303
0.299	10	313
0.300	10	323
0.365	15	338
0.366	30	368
0.367	13	380

Spread0.052Mid0.067

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	70	70
0.040	75	145
0.039	139	284
0.038	1,061	1,345
0.032	101	1,446
0.008	20	1,466
0.007	27	1,494
0.006	25	1,519
0.005	304	1,822
0.004	1,602	3,424
0.003	444	3,868
0.002	3,522	7,390

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	70	70
0.960	75	145
0.961	139	284
0.962	1,061	1,345
0.968	101	1,446
0.992	20	1,466
0.993	27	1,494
0.994	25	1,519
0.995	304	1,822
0.996	1,602	3,424
0.997	444	3,868
0.998	3,522	7,390

Spread0.052Mid0.933

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.907	14	14
0.906	49	63
0.861	8	71
0.860	9	81
0.835	143	224
0.769	10	234
0.768	69	303
0.701	10	313
0.700	10	323
0.635	15	338
0.634	30	368
0.633	13	380

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
DEGENKHAN	Yes	3,371.96
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	1,660
demosthenes474	Yes	727.77
0xd72C3EA1fa2c399fbF84CAAb5f75f825fb063Feb-1767855679892	Yes	527.01
varch01	Yes	500
Herald-PS	Yes	499.99
donthackme	Yes	456.66
LornaPredicts	Yes	430
0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822	Yes	300
crazymerlyn	Yes	255.01
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	Yes	159.73
woreste	Yes	143.26
haruk098	Yes	135
wtfsss	Yes	130.64
dpndv2	Yes	128.9
WanderingImpulse	Yes	116.79
m5297	Yes	116.6
xiaodouzi	Yes	100
SwissTac0	Yes	100
kangaroohodler	Yes	99.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:29:21	BUY	Yes	0.039	20	$0.78
21:23:21	SELL	Yes	0.042	5	$0.20
21:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.042	5	$0.21
21:23:10	BUY	No	0.958	5	$4.79
20:21:33	SELL	Yes	0.042	3	$0.14
15:15:12	BUY	No	0.958	8	$7.66
21:10:28	BUY	Yes	0.048	5	$0.25
15:51:07	BUY	Yes	0.023285163	23	$0.54
04:53:48	SELL	Yes	0.02058472	125	$2.57
05:39:00	BUY	No	0.981	5	$4.91
18:43:27	BUY	Yes	0.0479622388	3,199	$153.41
18:30:34	BUY	Yes	0.0142854694	23	$0.33
17:58:36	SELL	Yes	0.013	10	$0.13
17:58:30	SELL	Yes	0.013	5	$0.06
17:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.014	0	$0.00
17:58:18	SELL	Yes	0.014	5	$0.07
04:38:46	SELL	No	0.967	1	$1.00
12:45:27	SELL	No	0.963	5	$4.99
12:38:34	SELL	Yes	0.0139885846	987	$13.81
15:29:58	BUY	No	0.962999557	1	$1.00
11:47:13	SELL	Yes	0.037	40	$1.49
06:31:01	BUY	No	0.963	25	$24.28
06:29:27	BUY	No	0.963	7	$6.76
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.963	20	$19.26
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.963	5	$4.82