WanderingImpulse
0x32f0bcf1625eb7c3238ecb8fe92b4dec58ac7f90
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $100.3k
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $712.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.11at 0.064Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$184.50at 0.016Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
- +$132.86at 0.070US bank failure by January 31?
- +$105.00at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$66.92at 0.130US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12:46 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 01:27 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 01:24 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 22:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 22:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:16 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 23:15 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:18 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:10 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:08 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0059999988 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:06 | Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1119999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:06 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |